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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
33.64% ( 0.21) | 24.96% ( 0.38) | 41.4% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 57.35% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.04% ( -1.7) | 45.96% ( 1.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.74% ( -1.62) | 68.26% ( 1.63) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.68% ( -0.69) | 26.33% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.54% ( -0.93) | 61.46% ( 0.93) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.85% ( -1) | 22.16% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.46% ( -1.53) | 55.55% ( 1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.25% Total : 33.64% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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