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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Middlesbrough logo

Norwich
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Sainz (8', 71'), Dieng (80' og.)
Ben Slimane (59'), Fisher (74')
McLean (87')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Conway (13', 40'), Azaz (45+2')
Morris (23'), Edmundson (25'), McGree (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-2 Norwich
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Middlesbrough

Following back-to-back away draws, Norwich will be keen to get back to winning ways in front of their East Anglia faithful on Sunday afternoon. Middlesbrough will be full of confidence after conquering Sheffield United earlier in the week, and we feel that Boro should be good enough for a point at Carrow Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
33.64% (0.206 0.21) 24.96% (0.384 0.38) 41.4% (-0.585 -0.59)
Both teams to score 57.35% (-1.279 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.04% (-1.697 -1.7)45.96% (1.7 1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (-1.624 -1.62)68.26% (1.628 1.63)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (-0.687 -0.69)26.33% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54% (-0.926 -0.93)61.46% (0.932 0.93)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (-1 -1)22.16% (1.004 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.46% (-1.533 -1.53)55.55% (1.537 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 33.64%
    Middlesbrough 41.4%
    Draw 24.96%
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.404 0.4)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 33.64%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.411 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.367 0.37)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Middlesbrough

Norwich City
55.6%
Draw
31.1%
Middlesbrough
13.3%
90
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
3-1
Norwich
Forss (37'), Latte Lath (43'), Engel (62')
Forss (20')
Barnes (17')
McLean (47')
Sainz (30')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
5-1
Norwich
Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')
Sargent (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Sargent (7')
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Norwich
0-0
Middlesbrough
Buendia (41')
Buendia (67')
Saville (73'), Howson (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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