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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Middlesbrough logo

Watford
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Kayembe (76'), Baah (87')
Cleverley (24'), Porteous (88'), Chakvetadze (90+5'), Baah (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edmundson (54')
Hackney (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough

 Although Middlesbrough will be on a high from their win at West Brom, a second away test in quick succession may be a tough ask. With that in mind, we feel that Watford may edge this fixture by the odd goal in three, even with having less recovery time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
36.51% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.79% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 37.69% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.94% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (0.299 0.3)49.27% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67% (0.268 0.27)71.32% (-0.267 -0.27)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.13799999999999 0.14)26.21% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7% (0.183 0.18)61.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.17699999999999 0.18)25.55% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.242 0.24)60.41% (-0.24 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Watford 36.51%
    Middlesbrough 37.69%
    Draw 25.79%
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.69%

How you voted: Watford vs Middlesbrough

Watford
48.9%
Draw
14.9%
Middlesbrough
36.2%
47
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Middlesbrough
3-1
Watford
Latte Lath (28'), Bangura (78'), Jones (84')
Azaz (33')
Hoedt (73')
Pollock (20')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-3
Middlesbrough
Issouf Bayo (19'), Hoedt (52')
Porteous (40'), Sierralta (55')
McGree (5', 12'), Coburn (63')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Middlesbrough
2-0
Watford
Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
> Preview
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-1
Watford
Bolasie (78')
Sarr (32')
Chalobah (25')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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