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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Middlesbrough logo

Norwich
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Sainz (8', 71'), Dieng (80' og.)
Ben Slimane (59'), Fisher (74')
McLean (87')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Conway (13', 40'), Azaz (45+2')
Morris (23'), Edmundson (25'), McGree (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-2 Norwich
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Middlesbrough

Following back-to-back away draws, Norwich will be keen to get back to winning ways in front of their East Anglia faithful on Sunday afternoon. Middlesbrough will be full of confidence after conquering Sheffield United earlier in the week, and we feel that Boro should be good enough for a point at Carrow Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
33.64% (0.206 0.21) 24.96% (0.384 0.38) 41.4% (-0.585 -0.59)
Both teams to score 57.35% (-1.279 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.04% (-1.697 -1.7)45.96% (1.7 1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (-1.624 -1.62)68.26% (1.628 1.63)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (-0.687 -0.69)26.33% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54% (-0.926 -0.93)61.46% (0.932 0.93)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (-1 -1)22.16% (1.004 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.46% (-1.533 -1.53)55.55% (1.537 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 33.64%
    Middlesbrough 41.4%
    Draw 24.96%
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.404 0.4)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 33.64%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.411 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.367 0.37)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Middlesbrough

Norwich City
55.6%
Draw
31.1%
Middlesbrough
13.3%
90
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
3-1
Norwich
Forss (37'), Latte Lath (43'), Engel (62')
Forss (20')
Barnes (17')
McLean (47')
Sainz (30')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
5-1
Norwich
Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')
Sargent (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Sargent (7')
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Norwich
0-0
Middlesbrough
Buendia (41')
Buendia (67')
Saville (73'), Howson (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5Watford168262524126
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
18Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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