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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Stoke logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Stoke

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tchamadeu (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Preston
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 2-2 Stoke City

Oxford will head into this contest with every expectation that they will make it three successive wins at the Kassam Stadium. However, we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils in what we anticipate being an entertaining encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawStoke City
30.88% (-0.202 -0.2) 25.06% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 44.06% (0.243 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (0.102 0.1)47.32% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (0.094999999999999 0.09)69.55% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)28.75% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.102 -0.1)64.58% (0.101 0.1)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (0.15400000000001 0.15)21.49% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (0.238 0.24)54.54% (-0.239 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 30.88%
    Stoke City 44.06%
    Draw 25.06%
Oxford UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.8% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.3% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.06%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Stoke

Oxford United
39.1%
Draw
23.9%
Stoke City
37.0%
46
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1711422491535
2Burnley179622161533
3Sunderland1796226121433
4Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
5Watford179262624229
6Middlesbrough1683529191027
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom176921811727
8Millwall166641914524
9Norwich CityNorwich175753125622
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
11Bristol City175752021-122
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds176472026-622
13Stoke CityStoke175661920-121
14Derby CountyDerby165562020020
15Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry174582225-317
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd174581927-817
19Preston North EndPreston173861624-817
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth174581834-1617
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City173681623-715
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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