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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Stoke logo

Plymouth
0 - 1
Stoke


Rooney (15'), Forshaw (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Manhoef (83')
Junior Bocat (14'), Burger (32'), Wilmot (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Stoke City

The Schumacher factor means that this should be a competitive game played in an electric atmosphere at Home Park. While it may benefit the hosts at times, we are backing the superior attacking quality of the visitors to ultimately shine through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawStoke City
25.48% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 24.03% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 50.49% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.37% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.163 -0.16)46.25% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.45% (-0.155 -0.16)68.54% (0.152 0.15)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)32.17% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (-0.058 -0.06)68.65% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)18.35% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.167 -0.17)49.47% (0.165 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 25.48%
    Stoke City 50.48%
    Draw 24.03%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.036 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.8% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 25.48%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.49% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 50.48%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Stoke

Plymouth Argyle
44.4%
Draw
11.1%
Stoke City
44.4%
36
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stoke
3-0
Plymouth
Hoever (43'), Manhoef (45+2'), Burger (90+3')
Wilmot (26'), Cooper (36'), Hoever (36')

Campbell (35'), Mumba (36'), Scarr (62'), Devine (69')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Plymouth
2-1
Stoke
Bundu (43'), Randell (90+7')
Houghton (7'), Schumacher (8')
Campbell (23')
Vidigal (57'), Pearson (63')
Dec 29, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Stoke
Timar (67'), Ebanks-Blake (44')
Norris (73')
Shawcross (57'), Cresswell (8')
Fuller (86')
Hoult (82')
Sep 22, 2007 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Plymouth
Lawrence (66'), Fuller (73'), Seip (10' og.)
Seip (52'), Fallon (59')
Timar (37'), Nalis (76'), Buzsaky (79')
Mar 3, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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