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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Stoke City |
25.48% ( 0.05) | 24.03% ( 0.05) | 50.49% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.75% ( -0.16) | 46.25% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.45% ( -0.16) | 68.54% ( 0.15) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.82% ( -0.05) | 32.17% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.34% ( -0.06) | 68.65% ( 0.05) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.64% ( -0.1) | 18.35% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.52% ( -0.17) | 49.47% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.48% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 50.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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