QPR2 - 1Birmingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham City
With a different manager at the helm on an interim basis, Birmingham may respond in a positive manner after a number of defeats. Nevertheless, we can only back QPR to end their only winless streak, potentially courtesy of a late goal at Loftus Road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Birmingham City |
46.6% ( -0.26) | 25.42% ( 0.03) | 27.97% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 53% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.64% ( 0.02) | 50.36% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.7% ( 0.02) | 72.3% ( -0.02) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.39% ( -0.11) | 21.61% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.28% ( -0.16) | 54.72% ( 0.16) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.62% ( 0.19) | 32.38% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% ( 0.22) | 68.89% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.6% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.97% |