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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Birmingham logo

QPR
2 - 1
Birmingham

Cook (65'), Dunne (90+2')
Hayden (58'), Colback (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bacuna (62')
Laird (47'), Roberts (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 QPR
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Watford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Birmingham City

With a different manager at the helm on an interim basis, Birmingham may respond in a positive manner after a number of defeats. Nevertheless, we can only back QPR to end their only winless streak, potentially courtesy of a late goal at Loftus Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
46.6% (-0.262 -0.26) 25.42% (0.026 0.03) 27.97% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 53% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (0.023 0.02)72.3% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)21.61% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.28% (-0.163 -0.16)54.72% (0.162 0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (0.19499999999999 0.19)32.38% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (0.219 0.22)68.89% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.6%
    Birmingham City 27.97%
    Draw 25.42%
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 46.6%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.97%

How you voted: QPR vs Birmingham

Queens Park Rangers
Draw
Birmingham City
Queens Park Rangers
66.7%
Draw
26.2%
Birmingham City
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Birmingham
0-0
QPR
Bacuna (54'), Sanderson (67'), Stansfield (90')
Field (45'), Smyth (61')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
QPR
0-1
Birmingham
Chong (3')
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 18
Birmingham
2-0
QPR
Trusty (4'), Longelo (29')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-2
QPR
Aneke (75')
Sunjic (88')
Adomah (14'), Willock (71')
Dickie (59'), Amos (74'), Field (88')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
QPR
2-0
Birmingham
Chair (34', 64')
Dozzell (54')

Sunjic (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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