Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
for
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
for
We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Derby County
While the visitors have shown improvement under Hamshaw and the hosts have lost three of their last four, QPR will be the favourites given the difference in league standings, and we expect the home team to come out on top in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Derby County |
45.89% ( -0.29) | 26.31% ( 0.04) | 27.8% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 50.19% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% ( 0.01) | 53.97% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( 0.01) | 75.41% ( -0) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( -0.13) | 23.47% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.52% ( -0.2) | 57.48% ( 0.2) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( 0.21) | 34.42% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.86% ( 0.22) | 71.13% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.89% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.8% |
