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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Sunderland

Derby
vs.
Sunderland

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-2 Watford
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Sunderland
Friday, January 17 at 8pm in Championship

We say: Derby County 0-2 Sunderland

Sunderland will be desperate to return to winning ways on Tuesday to boost their promotion charge, and we are expecting the Black Cats to be too strong for a Derby outfit that are fighting to stay out of the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Sunderland has a probability of 35.11% and a draw has a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.88%).

Result
Derby CountyDrawSunderland
37.72% (1.816 1.82) 27.17% (0.185 0.19) 35.11% (-2 -2)
Both teams to score 50.31% (-0.64 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.9% (-0.778 -0.78)55.09% (0.778 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65% (-0.644 -0.64)76.35% (0.646 0.65)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.70599999999999 0.71)28.27% (-0.706 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (0.88500000000001 0.89)63.99% (-0.884 -0.88)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-1.597 -1.6)29.85% (1.598 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-1.976 -1.98)65.94% (1.978 1.98)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 37.72%
    Sunderland 35.11%
    Draw 27.16%
Derby CountyDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 8.14% (0.204 0.2)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.454 0.45)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.243 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.72%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.44% (0.252 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.373 -0.37)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.11%

Who will win Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby and Sunderland?

Derby County
Draw
Sunderland
Derby County
19.0%
Draw
0.0%
Sunderland
81.0%
21
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Sunderland
2-0
Derby
Bellingham (40'), Isidor (55')
Cirkin (25'), Mepham (59')

Harness (36'), Goudmijn (89')
Mar 30, 2018 7.45pm
Derby
1-4
Sunderland
Vydra (42')
Vydra (84'), Johnson (90')
Honeyman (10'), Fletcher (36'), McGeady (50' pen.), O'Shea (77')
Kone (59'), Love (63'), Cattermole (67'), O'Shea (72')
Aug 4, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2008 3pm
Derby
0-0
Sunderland
Miller (6'), McEveley (36'), Lewis (54'), Moore (64'), Villa (73')
Chopra (75')
Dec 1, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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