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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Millwall |
35.58% ( -0.02) | 27.52% ( 0.03) | 36.89% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.25% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.55% ( -0.13) | 56.45% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.55% ( -0.1) | 77.45% ( 0.1) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.77% ( -0.08) | 30.23% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.61% ( -0.09) | 66.39% ( 0.09) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.58% ( -0.07) | 29.42% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.59% ( -0.08) | 65.41% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.57% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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