Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.