Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
45.18% ( -0.15) | 26.12% ( 0.04) | 28.69% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.22% ( -0.12) | 52.77% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.6% ( -0.1) | 74.4% ( 0.1) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.71% ( -0.12) | 23.28% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.78% ( -0.18) | 57.22% ( 0.18) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% ( 0.02) | 33.1% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.3% ( 0.02) | 69.7% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
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