Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.