Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
34.73% ( -0.16) | 25.6% ( 0.05) | 39.67% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 55.4% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.41% ( -0.26) | 48.59% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.29% ( -0.24) | 70.71% ( 0.24) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% ( -0.22) | 26.93% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.74% ( -0.29) | 62.26% ( 0.29) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( -0.06) | 24.18% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.49% ( -0.09) | 58.51% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.73% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |