Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 12, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig4 - 2Werder Bremen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bayern 5-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
26
We said: RB Leipzig 1-1 Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig's defensive record in the past weeks is alarming, and it is difficult to see them preventing Werder Bremen from scoring. However, the hosts' strong form at home should make them favourites on Sunday, and they are likely to at least avoid defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Werder Bremen |
48.42% ( 0.89) | 23% ( -0.21) | 28.58% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
