MX23RW : Monday, January 20 20:58:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 20, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leipzig logo

Bayern
5 - 1
RB Leipzig

Musiala (1'), Laimer (25'), Kimmich (36'), Sane (75'), Davies (78')
Upamecano (20'), Olise (56'), Kane (60'), Laimer (64'), Kimmich (82')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sesko (2')
Schlager (26'), Rose (45+1'), Henrichs (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 2-1 Bayern
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 15 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 RB Leipzig

 Bayern's defence has struggled to cope amidst an injury crisis, and considering a number of defenders could miss out on Friday, Leipzig may have opportunities to capitalise on mistakes in the backline. However, the visitors are yet to prove that they have overcome the issues that have plagued them in recent weeks, and given Bayern boast an exceptional home record, the hosts should be considered favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
74.9% (0.028000000000006 0.03) 14.94% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 10.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.85% (0.031999999999996 0.03)31.15% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)52.56% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93% (0.013999999999996 0.01)7% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.39% (0.034000000000006 0.03)25.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.45% (0.00099999999999767 0)77.55%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 74.9%
    RB Leipzig 10.15%
    Draw 14.94%
Bayern MunichDrawRB Leipzig
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 8.99% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 8.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 5.33% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 3.18% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-0 @ 1.41% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 74.9%
1-1 @ 6.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.94%
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 10.15%

How you voted: Bayern vs RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich
69.8%
Draw
16.7%
RB Leipzig
13.6%
162
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Bayern
2-1
RB Leipzig
Kane (56', 90+1')
Pavlovic (37'), de Ligt (59'), Musiala (66')
Sesko (70')
Orban (41'), Schlager (67'), Simakan (78')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
RB Leipzig
2-2
Bayern
Openda (20'), Lukeba (26')
Simakan (54'), Lukeba (64')
Kane (57' pen.), Sane (70')
Kane (38'), Ulreich (44'), Upamecano (51'), Musiala (72'), Tel (81')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Bayern
0-3
RB Leipzig

Pavard (13'), Upamecano (34')
Olmo (3', 44', 68')
Olmo (71')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
1-3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
RB Leipzig
1-1
Bayern
Halstenberg (52')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


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