MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 09:03:58| >> :600:293433:293433:
Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Robert Diochon
Lille

Rouen
0 - 1
Lille


Brouard (35'), Emmanuel Letono Mbondi (38'), Mbock (45+1'), Goprou (55')
Benzia (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ismaily (22')
Bakker (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Coupe de France clash between Rouen and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ginglin-Cesson 0-3 Rouen
Saturday, November 30 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France
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Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille
Saturday, December 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rouen 0-2 Lille

Even though there are two divisions between the clubs, this is unlikely to be plain sailing for Lille, but they should have more than enough to extend their unbeaten run to 17 matches. Rouen stunned both Toulouse and Monaco on their way to the quarter-finals last season, but even though they have won four in a row under their new manager, this is an uphill task for them, against a club that have been impressive in the Champions League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Rouen had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.5%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Rouen win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
RouenDrawLille
13.72% (0.0019999999999989 0) 22.4% (0.0020000000000024 0) 63.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)76.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Rouen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.47% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)85.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.24% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)16.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.31% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)46.69% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Rouen 13.72%
    Lille 63.86%
    Draw 22.4%
RouenDrawLille
1-0 @ 5.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 3.52%
2-0 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 13.72%
1-1 @ 10.32%
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 15.12%
0-2 @ 13.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-3 @ 8.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-5 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 63.86%

How you voted: Rouen vs Lille

Rouen
11.8%
Draw
20.6%
Lille
67.6%
34
rhs 2.0
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