Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
21.58% ( -0.29) | 23.73% ( 0.62) | 54.69% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 51.78% ( -2.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.19% ( -2.97) | 48.81% ( 2.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.09% ( -2.76) | 70.91% ( 2.75) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.94% ( -1.95) | 37.06% ( 1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.15% ( -1.99) | 73.84% ( 1.98) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.27% ( -1.21) | 17.73% ( 1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.6% ( -2.12) | 48.39% ( 2.11) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.7% Total : 21.58% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.92) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.55% Total : 54.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |