Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.