Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AVS | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.55% (![]() | 27.15% (![]() | 43.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.64% (![]() | 56.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.62% (![]() | 77.38% (![]() |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.66% (![]() | 34.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.96% (![]() | 71.04% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.19% (![]() | 25.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% (![]() | 60.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AVS | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.47% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.55% | 1-1 @ 12.83% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 12% 1-2 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.13% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |