Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
21.59% (![]() | 24.93% (![]() | 53.48% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.44% (![]() | 53.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.93% (![]() | 75.07% (![]() |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.26% (![]() | 39.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.59% (![]() | 76.41% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80% (![]() | 20% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.81% (![]() | 52.19% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 7.34% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.35% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.59% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 12.79% 0-2 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-3 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-4 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.71% Total : 53.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |