Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | AVS |
44.26% ( -0.01) | 26.37% ( 0) | 29.36% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.94% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.54% ( -0.01) | 53.46% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.02% ( -0.01) | 74.98% ( 0) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% ( -0.01) | 24.03% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% ( -0.01) | 58.29% ( 0.01) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.05% ( -0) | 32.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.46% ( -0) | 69.53% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | AVS |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.26% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |