Brasileiro | Gameweek 6
May 14, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo2 - 1Fluminense
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cobresal 1-3 Sao Paulo
Thursday, May 9 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 9 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-1 Fluminense
Friday, May 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, May 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 25.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sao Paulo | Draw | Fluminense |
47.16% ( 0.31) | 27.27% ( 0.12) | 25.56% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 45.82% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.21% ( -0.67) | 58.78% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.7% ( -0.52) | 79.3% ( 0.52) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% ( -0.15) | 24.97% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.38% ( -0.2) | 59.62% ( 0.2) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.08% ( -0.75) | 38.92% ( 0.75) |