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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Municipal de Calama
Sao Paulo

Cobresal
1 - 3
Sao Paulo

Coelho (23')
Pacheco (72'), Lobos (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Luciano (38'), Nestor (60'), Calleri (78')
Zubeldia (4')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cobresal and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cobresal

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Last Game: Cobresal 0-2 Talleres
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Vitoria 1-3 Sao Paulo
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Cobresal had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Cobresal win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
CobresalDrawSao Paulo
18.92% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 22.24% (0.104 0.1) 58.84% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.35% (-0.377 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.01% (-0.479 -0.48)45.98% (0.479 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (-0.456 -0.46)68.29% (0.456 0.46)
Cobresal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.308 -0.31)38.2% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.3 -0.3)74.96% (0.3 0.3)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (-0.187 -0.19)15.29% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56% (-0.351 -0.35)44% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Cobresal 18.92%
    Sao Paulo 58.82%
    Draw 22.23%
CobresalDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 5.62% (0.067 0.07)
2-1 @ 5.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.7% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 18.92%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.23%
0-1 @ 10.96% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 10.29% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.45% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 3.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 58.82%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Sao Paulo
2-0
Cobresal
Silva (82'), Calleri (88')
Carpini (19'), Luciano (26'), Maia (29'), Galoppo (72')

Bechtholdt (18'), Castro (28'), Valencia (67'), Navarro (86'), Filla (90')
rhs 2.0
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9Brentford94141818013
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11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
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> Premier League Full Table


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