MX23RW : Friday, November 15 11:53:03| >> :60:19:19:
Scotland national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Finland national football team

Scotland
2 - 2
Finland

Hoskonen (54' og.), Shankland (58')
Gordon (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kallman (72'), Antman (85' pen.)
Maenpaa (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Scotland and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-2 Scotland
Monday, June 3 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 4-2 Finland
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Scotland 2-1 Finland

Having pushed Portugal on Tuesday night, Finland will feel that they have some momentum ahead of this contest. However, motivated to head to Germany with a boost of their own, we fancy Scotland to edge this contest through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 54.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Finland had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
ScotlandDrawFinland
54.56% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 23.38% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 22.07% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.54% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (0.139 0.14)46.8% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (0.131 0.13)69.06% (-0.12299999999999 -0.12)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (0.040999999999997 0.04)17.04% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.81% (0.066000000000003 0.07)47.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (0.133 0.13)35.46% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78% (0.135 0.13)72.23% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Scotland 54.56%
    Finland 22.07%
    Draw 23.37%
ScotlandDrawFinland
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 54.56%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 22.07%

How you voted: Scotland vs Finland

Scotland
69.4%
Draw
19.4%
Finland
11.2%
98
rhs 2.0
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