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Europa League
Slavia Prague
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Sinobo stadium
Ajax

Slavia Prague
1 - 1
Ajax

Chory (67')
Holes (9'), Prebsl (27'), Doudera (66'), Trpisovsky (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van den Boomen (18' pen.)
Hato (35'), Baas (47'), Taylor (69'), van den Boomen (78'), Wijndal (90'), Gaaei (90+1')
Baas (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Slavia Prague and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slavia Prague

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Bohemians 1905 0-4 Slavia Prague
Sunday, September 29 at 5.30pm in Czech Liga

Ajax

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, September 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Slavia Prague 2-2 Ajax

 Slavia have won 11 of their last 14 home games in Europe, and Ajax have never won away in the Czech Republic, but that does not mean this will be a foregone conclusion. The Dutch side look much better than they did last season, and were dominant in their win over Besiktas last week, and should play their part in a close, entertaining encounter here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Slavia Prague win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Slavia PragueDrawAjax
27.18% (0.261 0.26) 21.98% (-0.152 -0.15) 50.84% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 64.23% (0.81399999999999 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.7% (0.96399999999999 0.96)35.3% (-0.962 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.68% (1.064 1.06)57.32% (-1.063 -1.06)
Slavia Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (0.681 0.68)25.14% (-0.68 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (0.928 0.93)59.85% (-0.929 -0.93)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.79% (0.31 0.31)14.21% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.07% (0.599 0.6)41.93% (-0.597 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Slavia Prague 27.18%
    Ajax 50.84%
    Draw 21.98%
Slavia PragueDrawAjax
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.93% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.06% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 1.57% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 27.18%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-3 @ 6.11% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 4.22% (0.1 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.98% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.06% (0.071 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.16% (0.031 0.03)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 50.84%

How you voted: Slavia Prague vs Ajax

Slavia Prague
38.3%
Draw
22.2%
Ajax
39.5%
167
rhs 2.0
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