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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
54.82% ( -0.18) | 22.32% ( 0.02) | 22.85% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 58.13% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.79% ( 0.06) | 41.21% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.39% ( 0.06) | 63.6% ( -0.06) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.03% ( -0.04) | 14.97% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.6% ( -0.07) | 43.4% ( 0.07) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.36% ( 0.16) | 31.63% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.95% ( 0.19) | 68.04% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 54.82% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 22.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 39 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 19 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 29 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 15 |
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