MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 21:17:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | 2nd Leg
May 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
West Brom logo

Southampton
3 - 1
West Brom

Smallbone (49'), Armstrong (78', 86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kipre (90+7')
Mowatt (75'), Swift (82'), Kipre (89'), M'Vila (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton claim a comfortable 3-1 win over West Bromwich Albion to seal their place in the Championship playoff final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Southampton
Sunday, May 12 at 2.15pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Southampton
Sunday, May 12 at 2.15pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
54.82% (-0.177 -0.18) 22.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.85% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 58.13% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.79% (0.061 0.06)41.21% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.39% (0.061 0.06)63.6% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.03% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)14.97% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.6% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)43.4% (0.07 0.07)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (0.163 0.16)31.63% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (0.188 0.19)68.04% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 54.82%
    West Bromwich Albion 22.85%
    Draw 22.32%
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 54.82%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 22.85%

How you voted: Southampton vs West Brom

Southampton
72.7%
Draw
11.7%
West Bromwich Albion
15.6%
231
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 33
West Brom
0-2
Southampton

Thomas-Asante (44'), Yokuslu (50')
Corberan (45')
Fraser (14'), Brooks (73')
Smallbone (55')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Southampton
2-1
West Brom
Smallbone (5'), Armstrong (79')
Downes (36'), Martin (37'), Holgate (43'), Alcaraz (86')
Bartley (65')
Apr 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Pereira (32' pen.), Phillips (35'), Robinson (69')
Oct 4, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 4
Southampton
2-0
West Brom
Djenepo (41'), Romeu (69')
Djenepo (50'), Walker-Peters (53')

Livermore (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd19125227111639
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6Middlesbrough209473425931
7Watford189362624230
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1961122114729
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall186752016425
14Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
15Coventry CityCoventry195682527-221
16Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
17Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
18Preston North EndPreston1931061826-819
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
20Queens Park RangersQPR193971826-818
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City1936101727-1015


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