Serie B | Gameweek 31
Apr 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Spezia2 - 1Ascoli
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Ascoli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reggiana 0-0 Spezia
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 4-1 Lecco
Sunday, March 17 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, March 17 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 46.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Ascoli |
46.57% ( 0) | 27.87% | 25.55% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 44.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.17% ( -0) | 60.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.14% | 80.86% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.8% | 26.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.72% ( 0) | 61.28% ( -0) |
Ascoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.92% ( -0) | 40.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.27% ( -0) | 76.72% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia 46.57%
Ascoli 25.55%
Draw 27.86%
Spezia | Draw | Ascoli |
1-0 @ 14.06% 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 4.21% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.96% Total : 46.57% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.36% Total : 25.55% |
Head to Head