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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Rio Ave

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 1
Rio Ave

Goncalves (6', 26'), Gyokeres (63')
Goncalves (51'), Catamo (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Clayton (90')
Aderlan (35'), Clayton (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-4 Porto
Saturday, August 3 at 8.15pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Rio Ave

Although Sporting lost last time out against Porto, they still scored three goals and demonstrated their attacking prowess. Additionally, while Rio Ave have proven to be stubborn opponents in the past, they did struggle away from home last season, and that should make the hosts favourites on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 8.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawRio Ave
77.97% (0.036999999999992 0.04) 13.41% (-0.016 -0.02) 8.62% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.57% (0.015999999999991 0.02)28.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)49.27% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.15% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)5.84% (-0.0080999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.56% (0.027999999999992 0.03)22.44% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)42.02% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)78.45% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 77.97%
    Rio Ave 8.62%
    Draw 13.41%
Sporting LisbonDrawRio Ave
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 9.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.13%
1-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-0 @ 6.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
5-0 @ 3.78% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-1 @ 3.28% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 77.97%
1-1 @ 6.05% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 13.41%
1-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 8.62%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave

Sporting Lisbon
89.4%
Draw
8.5%
Rio Ave
2.1%
47
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Rio Ave
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Embalo (3'), Yakubu (45+4' pen., 67' pen.)
Embalo (6'), Graca (60'), Pantalon (80'), Gomes (83'), Costinha (90+4')
Pantalon (90+1')
Hjulmand (9'), Gyokeres (44'), Coates (73')
St Juste (6'), Catamo (63'), Diomande (75')
Sep 25, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Rio Ave
Paulinho (10'), Edwards (26')
Coates (48')

Aderlan (19'), Acevedo (47'), Ronaldo (57'), Ukra (73'), Santos Ventura (90+3')
Feb 6, 2023 9.15pm
Dec 7, 2022 8.30pm
Group Stage
Rio Ave
0-2
Sporting Lisbon
Inacio (62'), Boateng (73' og.)
Aug 13, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Rio Ave
Goncalves (36', 75'), Nunes (67')
Ugarte (61')

Ferreira (64'), Oudrhiri (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1211013963333
2Porto1210023082230
3Benfica119113072328
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara128041512324
5Braga127232011923
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes126331611521
7FamalicaoFamalicao124531311217
8MoreirenseMoreirense125251717017
9Rio AveRio Ave124351322-915
10Casa Pia123451016-613
11Estoril PraiaEstoril123451017-713
12BoavistaBoavista12246715-810
13Gil Vicente122461423-910
14AVS12246920-1110
15Nacional11236615-99
16Estrela Amadora122371021-119
17SC FarenseFarense12228618-128
18AroucaArouca12228621-158


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