Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee |
38.85% ( 1.31) | 25.66% ( 0.38) | 35.49% ( -1.69) |
Both teams to score 55.31% ( -1.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.24% ( -1.83) | 48.75% ( 1.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.14% ( -1.68) | 70.86% ( 1.68) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.32% ( -0.13) | 24.68% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.78% ( -0.19) | 59.21% ( 0.19) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% ( -1.81) | 26.56% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.23% ( -2.46) | 61.77% ( 2.46) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee |
1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.85% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.19% Total : 35.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |