Stenhousemuir

2 - 1

Arbroath

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.