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Championship header 2

League Two
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
Notts County

Stockport
2 - 1
Notts County

Wootton (7'), Madden (86' pen.)
Croasdale (36'), Byrne (55'), Pye (56'), Richardson (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGoldrick (90+3')
Bostock (76'), Cameron (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stockport County and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 8-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 3-1 Notts County
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Notts County

 We anticipate a hard-fought encounter at Edgeley Park between two of League Two's strongest sides, with one goal either way likely settling it. Given their recent results and with home advantage, we give a slight edge to the table-topping hosts to get over the line and head into Christmas with an enviable lead at the summit, but they certainly face one of their toughest tests yet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stockport County in this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawNotts County
53.37% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 22.65%23.98% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.43% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.55% (-0.052 -0.05)41.45% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.15% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)63.85% (0.052 0.05)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)44.47% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)30.81% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)67.08% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 53.37%
    Notts County 23.98%
    Draw 22.64%
Stockport CountyDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 23.98%

How you voted: Stockport vs Notts County

Stockport County
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Notts County
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stockport
3-0
Notts County
Madden (28', 71'), Crankshaw (48')
Sarcevic (53'), Madden (83')

Palmer (42'), Francis (52')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
2-1
Stockport
Wootton (54'), Vincent (68')
Rawlinson (18'), Wootton (63')
Whitfield (90+3' pen.)
Keane (20'), Hogan (50'), Quigley (60')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Stockport
0-0
Notts County
Reid (61')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
1-0
Stockport
Reeves (35')
Rawlinson (40')

Kitching (45+1'), Palmer (69'), Thomas (79')
Mar 24, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 49
Stockport
P-P
Notts County
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627
> League Two Full Table


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