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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Colchester United |
61.56% ( 0.56) | 20.9% ( -0.08) | 17.54% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 54.14% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.7% ( -0.46) | 42.3% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.29% ( -0.46) | 64.71% ( 0.47) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.77% ( 0.02) | 13.23% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60% ( 0.04) | 40% ( -0.04) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.4% ( -0.82) | 37.6% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.62% ( -0.82) | 74.38% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Colchester United |
2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 61.55% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |