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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Sunderland

Stoke
1 - 0
Sunderland

Cannon (90+2')
Phillips (16'), Gooch (21'), Moran (27'), Johansson (43'), Cannon (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cirkin (51'), Bellingham (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Leeds
Thursday, December 26 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Sunderland
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-3 Sunderland

Sunderland's mixed record away from home suggests that they could encounter difficulties on Sunday, but it is difficult to see them dropping points against an under pressure Stoke City side. The hosts are in poor form and while they might at times pose a challenge to the visitors, they are unlikely to avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
31.5% (-4.891 -4.89) 26.42% (0.118 0.12) 42.08% (4.776 4.78)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-1.408 -1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (-1.34 -1.34)52.8% (1.341 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (-1.154 -1.15)74.43% (1.157 1.16)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-3.767 -3.77)31.08% (3.769 3.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (-4.642 -4.64)67.4% (4.644 4.64)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (1.961 1.96)24.83% (-1.959 -1.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (2.656 2.66)59.41% (-2.656 -2.66)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 31.5%
    Sunderland 42.08%
    Draw 26.42%
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.478 -0.48)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.776 -0.78)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.893 -0.89)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.652 -0.65)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.613 -0.61)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.321 -0.32)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.5%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 10.75% (1.113 1.11)
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.514 0.51)
0-2 @ 7.49% (1.142 1.14)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.448 0.45)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.691 0.69)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.225 0.23)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.294 0.29)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.08%

How you voted: Stoke vs Sunderland

Stoke City
23.4%
Draw
15.6%
Sunderland
60.9%
64
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sunderland
2-1
Stoke
Watson (7', 86')
Koumas (6')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Sunderland
3-1
Stoke
Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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