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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield United in this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Sunderland |
44.92% ( -0.11) | 25.35% ( -0.14) | 29.73% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 54.37% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.9% ( 0.71) | 49.1% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.83% ( 0.64) | 71.17% ( -0.63) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( 0.25) | 21.84% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( 0.38) | 55.07% ( -0.37) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( 0.55) | 30.43% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.36% ( 0.64) | 66.64% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.92% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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