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Bundesliga
SV Darmstadt
Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Freiburg logo

Darmstadt
0 - 1
Freiburg

FT(HT: 0-1)
Doan (36')
Sallai (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 4-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 Freiburg

 While Freiburg have been inconsistent this season, they have done well against sides in the bottom half of the table and will feel that this is a match from which they should take all three points. With just two wins all season, it is difficult to make much of a case for Darmstadt here, and we feel that they will suffer their 19th loss of the campaign in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawFreiburg
22.28% (3.023 3.02) 21.7% (1.609 1.61) 56.02% (-4.637 -4.64)
Both teams to score 59.51% (-0.908 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.97% (-3.385 -3.39)39.02% (3.38 3.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.65% (-3.647 -3.65)61.34% (3.641 3.64)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08% (0.858 0.86)30.92% (-0.864 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79% (0.998 1)67.21% (-1.004 -1)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.15% (-2.421 -2.42)13.84% (2.413 2.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.78% (-5.001 -5)41.22% (4.995 5)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 22.28%
    Freiburg 56.02%
    Draw 21.7%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 5.83% (0.655 0.66)
1-0 @ 5.02% (0.859 0.86)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.562 0.56)
3-1 @ 2.28% (0.303 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.242 0.24)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 22.28%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.903 0.9)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.151 0.15)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.648 0.65)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.7%
1-2 @ 9.82% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.584 0.58)
0-2 @ 8.37% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 6.47% (-0.607 -0.61)
0-3 @ 5.52% (-0.662 -0.66)
2-3 @ 3.8% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-4 @ 3.2% (-0.639 -0.64)
0-4 @ 2.73% (-0.623 -0.62)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.322 -0.32)
1-5 @ 1.27% (-0.399 -0.4)
0-5 @ 1.08% (-0.375 -0.38)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 56.02%

How you voted: Darmstadt vs Freiburg

SV Darmstadt 98
15.6%
Draw
25.0%
Freiburg
59.4%
32
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Freiburg
1-1
Darmstadt
Holer (35')
Weisshaupt (75'), Hofler (90+4')
Honsak (18')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2017 2.30pm
Darmstadt
3-0
Freiburg
Platte (23'), Gondorf (45'), Schipplock (65')
Gondorf (25'), Banggaard (42')
Dec 10, 2016 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-0
Darmstadt
Petersen (86' pen.)
Schuster (10'), Stenzel (38'), Hofler (61')

Vrancic (23'), Schipplock (42'), Gondorf (84'), Esser (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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