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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Freiburg |
22.28% ( 3.02) | 21.7% ( 1.61) | 56.02% ( -4.64) |
Both teams to score 59.51% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.97% ( -3.39) | 39.02% ( 3.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.65% ( -3.65) | 61.34% ( 3.64) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% ( 0.86) | 30.92% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% ( 1) | 67.21% ( -1) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.15% ( -2.42) | 13.84% ( 2.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.78% ( -5) | 41.22% ( 5) |
Score Analysis |
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.66) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.86) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.78% Total : 22.28% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.9) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.65) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.7% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.58) 0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.61) 0-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.66) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.64) 0-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.62) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.32) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.4) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.38) Other @ 3.43% Total : 56.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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