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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
52.21% ( 0.28) | 22.88% ( -0.09) | 24.91% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.69% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.41% ( 0.27) | 41.6% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.01% ( 0.27) | 64% ( -0.27) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.01% ( 0.2) | 15.99% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.69% ( 0.36) | 45.31% ( -0.35) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.87% | 30.13% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.72% ( -0) | 66.28% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.21% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 24.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 40 |
3 | Salford City | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 39 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Port Vale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 38 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 37 |
7 | Notts County | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 24 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 37 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 35 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 31 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 28 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 23 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 27 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 24 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
22 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 22 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |