MX23RW : Friday, November 1 03:28:50| >> :600:13289134:13289134:
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
2 - 3
Herediano

Isais (5'), Angulo (45')
Isais (78')
Isais (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rojas (57'), Rodriguez (62'), Canales (84')
Rubio (42')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Toluca and Herediano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Necaxa 3-3 Toluca
Saturday, February 10 at 11pm in Liga MX

Herediano

All competitions
Last Game: Herediano 1-2 Toluca
Wednesday, February 7 at 11pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 55.33%. A win for Herediano had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Herediano win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawHerediano
55.33% (0.362 0.36) 21.87% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 22.79% (-0.292 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.64% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.82% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)39.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.5% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (0.11 0.11)14.11% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (0.217 0.22)41.74% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Herediano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.253 -0.25)30.56% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.299 -0.3)66.79% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 55.33%
    Herediano 22.79%
    Draw 21.87%
TolucaDrawHerediano
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.4% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.13% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 55.33%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 22.79%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 11pm
First Round 1st Leg
Herediano
1-2
Toluca
Vega (88')
Galo (66')
Jairo Ruiz (10')
Pereira (16'), Morales (59')
Arteaga (36'), Belmonte (45+2'), Baeza (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131
> Premier League Full Table


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