MX23RW : Thursday, November 28 11:45:05| >> :600:15651709:15651709:
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
2 - 3
Herediano

Isais (5'), Angulo (45')
Isais (78')
Isais (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rojas (57'), Rodriguez (62'), Canales (84')
Rubio (42')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Toluca and Herediano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Necaxa 3-3 Toluca
Saturday, February 10 at 11pm in Liga MX

Herediano

All competitions
Last Game: Herediano 1-2 Toluca
Wednesday, February 7 at 11pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 55.33%. A win for Herediano had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Herediano win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawHerediano
55.33% (0.362 0.36) 21.87% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 22.79% (-0.292 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.64% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.82% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)39.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.5% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (0.11 0.11)14.11% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (0.217 0.22)41.74% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Herediano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.253 -0.25)30.56% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.299 -0.3)66.79% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 55.33%
    Herediano 22.79%
    Draw 21.87%
TolucaDrawHerediano
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.4% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.13% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 55.33%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 22.79%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 11pm
First Round 1st Leg
Herediano
1-2
Toluca
Vega (88')
Galo (66')
Jairo Ruiz (10')
Pereira (16'), Morales (59')
Arteaga (36'), Belmonte (45+2'), Baeza (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!