Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Tunisia1 - 0Madagascar
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Namibia 0-0 Tunisia
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Last Game: Madagascar 0-0 Mali
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Tunisia 1-0 Madagascar
While Tunisia have performed well below expectation in the last 18 to 24 months, there is no denying the quality in their squad and a new manager at the helm may be exactly what was needed to reignite the fire beneath them. We are going for a narrow win for the hosts in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 44.56%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.65%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tunisia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Madagascar |
44.56% ( -1.64) | 30.19% ( 0.54) | 25.24% ( 1.09) |
| Both teams to score 38.48% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
