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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
43.54% ( -0.21) | 25.33% ( 0.17) | 31.13% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.17% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.62% ( -0.73) | 48.37% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.49% ( -0.67) | 70.51% ( 0.67) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.82% ( -0.41) | 22.18% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.42% ( -0.62) | 55.58% ( 0.61) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.89% ( -0.35) | 29.1% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.97% ( -0.43) | 65.03% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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