MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 13:46:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Go Ahead Eagles

Excelsior
1 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles

Uddenas (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Amofa (54')
Rommens (89'), Nauber (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 4-2 Excelsior
Friday, December 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 Utrecht
Sunday, December 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 2-2 Go Ahead Eagles

Excelsior have seen their matches produce the fourth-highest number of combined goals, and we are anticipating another goal fest this weekend. That said, we can also see Saturday's opponents cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawGo Ahead Eagles
28.68% (0.142 0.14) 24.04% (0.089000000000002 0.09) 47.28% (-0.234 -0.23)
Both teams to score 58.07% (-0.206 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-0.32 -0.32)43.93% (0.318 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68% (-0.311 -0.31)66.31% (0.31 0.31)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)28.54% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)64.32% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.27% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)18.73% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.9% (-0.369 -0.37)50.1% (0.366 0.37)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 28.68%
    Go Ahead Eagles 47.28%
    Draw 24.03%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawGo Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 28.68%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.25% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.19% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.2% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 47.28%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles

SBV Excelsior
18.5%
Draw
33.3%
Go Ahead Eagles
48.1%
27
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 7pm
Oct 29, 2022 8pm
May 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 38
Excelsior
0-1
Go Ahead Eagles

Tjoe-A-On (42'), Bruins (63'), Zwarts (65'), Damen (90'), van Rooijen (90+5')
Kuipers (82')
Bakker (71'), Eersteling (72')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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