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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Heracles |
51.6% ( -0.12) | 23% ( 0.07) | 25.41% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.81% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.33% ( -0.24) | 41.67% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.93% ( -0.24) | 64.08% ( 0.25) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% ( -0.13) | 16.24% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.25% ( -0.24) | 45.76% ( 0.24) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% ( -0.08) | 29.79% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.14% ( -0.1) | 65.86% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 25.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 11 | 39 | 39 |
2 | Ajax | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 32 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Feyenoord | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
5 | FC Twente | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 23 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
11 | Willem II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Groningen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
15 | Heracles | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | -25 | 6 |
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