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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
37.07% ( -0.82) | 24.77% ( -0.19) | 38.17% ( 1.01) |
Both teams to score 58.61% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.44% ( 0.89) | 44.56% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.07% ( 0.85) | 66.93% ( -0.85) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.27% ( -0.03) | 23.73% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.13% ( -0.05) | 57.86% ( 0.05) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% ( 0.93) | 23.15% ( -0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.97% ( 1.35) | 57.03% ( -1.35) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.07% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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