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Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
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NAC Breda
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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Yanmar Stadion
Vitesse

Almere City
5 - 0
Vitesse

Cathline (28'), Kitala (43'), Jacobs (82'), Pena (87'), Robinet (90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 4-1 Almere City
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 2-0 Heracles
Sunday, December 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-1 Vitesse

Given the defensive records of both sides heading into this one, we expect neither of them to come away with a clean sheet. We can also see the spoils being shared at the end of the 90 minutes, with the teams having to make do with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawVitesse
34.62% (3.268 3.27) 24.78% (1.619 1.62) 40.6% (-4.88 -4.88)
Both teams to score 58.25% (-4.634 -4.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.1% (-6.577 -6.58)44.9% (6.585 6.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.75% (-6.65 -6.65)67.26% (6.658 6.66)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (-1.223 -1.22)25.25% (1.231 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (-1.718 -1.72)60% (1.726 1.73)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (-4.838 -4.84)22.08% (4.844 4.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56% (-7.888 -7.89)55.44% (7.896 7.9)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 34.62%
    Vitesse 40.6%
    Draw 24.78%
Almere CityDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.573 0.57)
1-0 @ 7.68% (1.769 1.77)
2-0 @ 5.28% (1.069 1.07)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.14 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.421 0.42)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.62%
1-1 @ 11.59% (1.21 1.21)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.485 -0.49)
0-0 @ 5.58% (1.435 1.44)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.373 -0.37)
0-1 @ 8.42% (1.142 1.14)
0-2 @ 6.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.941 -0.94)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.548 -0.55)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.781 -0.78)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.686 -0.69)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.438 -0.44)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.531 -0.53)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.6%

How you voted: Almere City vs Vitesse

Almere City
26.7%
Draw
33.3%
Vitesse
40.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2112634033742
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8NAC BredaNAC Breda2182112636-1026
9Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
10PEC Zwolle216692632-624
11Heerenveen2073102136-1524
12NECNijmegen1972102825323
13Willem II206592428-423
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles214982437-1321
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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