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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Coventry City

Watford
1 - 1
Coventry

Dele-Bashiru (67')
Pollock (38'), Porteous (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simms (4')
Torp (44'), Latibeaudiere (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Watford
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Coventry City

Watford have been formidable at Vicarage Road so far this season, winning four straight matches across all competitions by an aggregate scoreline of 12-1. As a result, the Hornets should be extremely confident of dealing with the threat of Coventry this weekend, so we are expecting a narrow win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCoventry City
43.98% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 30.21% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.13% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17% (0.064 0.06)50.82% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (0.056999999999999 0.06)72.71% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.021999999999991 0.02)23.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.83% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (0.051000000000002 0.05)30.98% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (0.059000000000005 0.06)67.28% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Watford 43.97%
    Coventry City 30.21%
    Draw 25.81%
WatfordDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 43.97%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Watford vs Coventry

Watford
65.3%
Draw
22.2%
Coventry City
12.5%
72
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-2
Coventry
Porteous (20')
Hoedt (26')
Wright (40' pen., 72')
Kelly (19'), Palmer (23'), Bidwell (45+1'), Thomas (66'), Wright (88')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Coventry
3-3
Watford
Van Ewijk (41'), Hoedt (64' og.), Godden (87')
Eccles (24'), McFadzean (60'), Sheaf (76')
Rajovic (35', 79'), Martins (52')
Porteous (30'), Sierralta (40'), Hoedt (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Coventry
2-2
Watford
Godden (58'), Sheaf (72')
Pedro (6'), Louza (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 6, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Coventry
0-0
Watford
Sierralta (24'), Gray (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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