National League | Gameweek 23
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. George's Stadium
We said: Wealdstone 1-1 Aldershot Town
This is a really interesting match, as Aldershot have a lot of firepower, but Wealdstone are in good form and are also strong at home. It would not be a surprise to see a win either way here, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in a tight encounter.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 46.82% . A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.22%) . The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%) . The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Wealdstone Draw Aldershot Town 46.82% ( 0.02) 22.53% ( 0) 30.65% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 64.84% ( -0.02)
64.41% ( -0.02) 35.58% ( 0.02)
42.36% ( -0.02) 57.64% ( 0.02)
84.31% ( 0) 15.68% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 55.26% ( 0) 44.74% ( -0)
76.9% ( -0.02) 23.1% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.05% ( -0.03) 56.95% ( 0.03)
Wealdstone 46.82%
Aldershot Town 30.65%
Draw 22.53%
Wealdstone Draw Aldershot Town 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.97% 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 46.82% 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.53% 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.65%
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-16 00:00:21
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