FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium
Worthing0 - 2Morecambe
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Worthing and Morecambe.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
Result | ||
Worthing | Draw | Morecambe |
28.62% ( 0.1) | 21.27% ( -0.08) | 50.1% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 68.18% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.34% ( 0.45) | 30.65% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.02% ( 0.54) | 51.98% ( -0.54) |
Worthing Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% ( 0.29) | 21.82% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.96% ( 0.44) | 55.04% ( -0.45) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.21% ( 0.15) | 12.79% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.9% ( 0.31) | 39.1% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Worthing 28.62%
Morecambe 50.1%
Draw 21.27%
Worthing | Draw | Morecambe |
2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.62% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 50.1% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-03 17:30:36
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 45 |
2 | Arsenal | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Chelsea | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 35 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 32 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 31 |
7 | Bournemouth | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 30 |
8 | Fulham | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
9 | Aston Villa | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 24 |
12 | Brentford | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 24 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Everton | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 15 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 19 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 39 | -27 | 6 |
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