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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
25.47% ( -0.05) | 24.87% ( -0.05) | 49.65% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 52.69% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.2% ( 0.16) | 49.79% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.2% ( 0.14) | 71.79% ( -0.15) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.92% ( 0.04) | 34.08% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.24% ( 0.05) | 70.76% ( -0.05) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.92% ( 0.1) | 20.07% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.69% ( 0.17) | 52.3% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.47% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.82% 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 49.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |