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Wycombe Wanderers
Wycombe Wanderers
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Adams Park
Derby logo

Wycombe
0 - 0
Derby


Sadlier (67')
FT

Smith (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in League One

We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-2 Derby County

As Wycombe could carry a Wembley hangover into Wednesday's game, a well-rested Derby County side should take advantage and improve their promotion prospects. With several players potentially back at Paul Warne's disposal, the Rams can bolster a fine record on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawDerby County
25.47% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.87% (-0.052 -0.05) 49.65% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (0.162 0.16)49.79% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (0.144 0.14)71.79% (-0.152 -0.15)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (0.037999999999997 0.04)34.08% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (0.045999999999999 0.05)70.76% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (0.104 0.1)20.07% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69% (0.171 0.17)52.3% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 25.47%
    Derby County 49.65%
    Draw 24.87%
Wycombe WanderersDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.47%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 10.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.82%
1-3 @ 5.08% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.72% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 49.65%

How you voted: Wycombe vs Derby

Wycombe Wanderers
3.8%
Draw
18.9%
Derby County
77.4%
53
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
1-1
Wycombe
Barkhuizen (83')
Sibley (14'), Mendez-Laing (15'), Hourihane (20'), Collins (30'), Bird (31')
Leahy (90+8' pen.)
Leahy (30'), Forino-Joseph (51'), Vokes (82')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wycombe
3-2
Derby
Vokes (11'), Wing (77', 86')
Collins (66'), Dobbin (89')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Derby
2-1
Wycombe
Hourihane (72', 86')
Mehmeti (15')
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Wycombe
1-2
Derby
Ikpeazu (48' pen.)
Allsop (16'), Stewart (53')
Ikpeazu (16' og.), Wisdom (90+4')
Mengi (63'), Wisdom (69')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 14
Derby
1-1
Wycombe
Holmes (36')
Bloomfield (81')
Kashket (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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