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Wycombe Wanderers
Wycombe Wanderers
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Adams Park
Derby logo

Wycombe
3 - 2
Derby

Vokes (11'), Wing (77', 86')
Hanlan (37'), Obita (85'), Stryjek (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collins (66'), Dobbin (89')
Forsyth (70'), Collins (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-2 Derby County

Although Wycombe have won four of their last five home games, we think they will be beaten by a Derby side in red-hot form after recording six consecutive victories in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawDerby County
25.75% (-0.119 -0.12) 26.12% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 48.12% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)54.53% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)75.88% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.59% (-0.121 -0.12)36.41% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.8% (-0.121 -0.12)73.2% (0.119 0.12)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (0.042999999999992 0.04)22.68% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (0.064 0.06)56.32% (-0.067 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 25.75%
    Derby County 48.12%
    Draw 26.11%
Wycombe WanderersDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.21% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.75%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.09% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.5% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 48.12%

How you voted: Wycombe vs Derby

Wycombe Wanderers
21.4%
Draw
3.6%
Derby County
75.0%
28
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
Wycombe
1-2
Derby
Ikpeazu (48' pen.)
Allsop (16'), Stewart (53')
Ikpeazu (16' og.), Wisdom (90+4')
Mengi (63'), Wisdom (69')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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