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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 29, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Juarez
1 - 2
Guadalajara

Molina (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 4-1 Juarez
Monday, January 23 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-2 Toluca
Sunday, January 22 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
JuarezDrawCD Guadalajara
29.32% (-0.551 -0.55) 28.92% (-0.349 -0.35) 41.75% (0.896 0.9)
Both teams to score 43.75% (0.668 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.43% (0.937 0.94)62.57% (-0.939 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.84% (0.677 0.68)82.15% (-0.681 -0.68)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.13% (0.085999999999999 0.09)37.87% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (0.080000000000002 0.08)74.64% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.979 0.98)29.58% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (1.179 1.18)65.61% (-1.182 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 29.32%
    CD Guadalajara 41.74%
    Draw 28.91%
JuarezDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 6.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 29.32%
1-1 @ 13.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 11.2% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.91%
0-1 @ 13.64% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.174 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.154 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.079 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.073 0.07)
1-4 @ 1% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 41.74%

Head to Head
Jul 2, 2022 11pm
Guadalajara
0-0
Juarez

Zaldivar (4'), Mozo (84'), Beltran (90+2')

Garcia (90+3')
Feb 10, 2022 1am
Juarez
1-3
Guadalajara
Arce (10')
Olivera (49'), Arce (74')
Arribas (44' og.), Vega (82'), Angulo (86')
Sepulveda (34')
Sepulveda (52')
Aug 7, 2021 11pm
Guadalajara
2-2
Juarez
Zaldivar (15'), Godinez (89')
Fernandez (10' pen., 51')
Fernandez (66'), Garcia (69')
Jan 31, 2021 1am
Guadalajara
1-2
Juarez
Macias (77')
Lezcano (10'), Garcia (29')
Santos (32'), Garcia (52'), Velazquez (54'), Palos (64')
Aug 13, 2020 1am
Juarez
0-2
Guadalajara

Romo (52'), Lopez (81')
Macias (56' pen.), Angulo (65')
Sanchez (42'), Mier (66'), Vega (74'), Villalpando (86')
Vega (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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