Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monterrey in this match.